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master's thesis
Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima
2018. urn:nbn:hr:145:481875
Slačanac, Adam
Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek
Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek
Chair of Management, Organization and Entrepreneurship

Cite this document

Slačanac, A. (2018). Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima (Master's thesis). Osijek: Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

Slačanac, Adam. "Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima." Master's thesis, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek, 2018. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

Slačanac, Adam. "Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima." Master's thesis, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek, 2018. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

Slačanac, A. (2018). 'Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima', Master's thesis, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek, accessed 14 November 2024, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

Slačanac A. Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima [Master's thesis]. Osijek: Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek; 2018 [cited 2024 November 14] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

A. Slačanac, "Primjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima", Master's thesis, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek, Osijek, 2018. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:145:481875

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Metadata
TitlePrimjena Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate modela za procjenu rizika na hrvatskim poduzećima
Title (english)Application of Zmijewski, Chesser and Springate risk prediction models on Croatian companies
AuthorAdam Slačanac
MentorNataša Šarlija (mentor)
Committee memberNataša Šarlija (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee memberĐula Borozan (član povjerenstva)
Committee memberDavor Dujak (član povjerenstva)
GranterJosip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek
Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek
(Chair of Management, Organization and Entrepreneurship)
Osijek
Defense date and country2018-09-24, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		SOCIAL SCIENCES
Economics
Finance
Abstract
Rizik je sastavni dio svakog poslovanja te ga je vrlo važno predvidjeti, prepoznati i znati dobro upravljati njime. Kako bi se olakšalo predviđanje rizika koriste se takozvani modeli za predviđanje rizika. Svrha ovog rada je istražiti mogu li se modeli za predviđanje rizika Zmijewski, Chesser i Springate primijeniti na području tržišta Hrvatske te koja je točnost njihovih predviđanja. Rad opisuje navedene modele i načine na koji se oni računaju. Također uspoređeni rezultati korištenja modela u njihovom izvornom obliku na 200 nasumično odabranih poduzeća te primjena istih modela nakon njihove prilagodbe. Točnost modela uspoređena je sa točnošću istih modela na drugim tržištima temeljem prijašnjih istraživanja. Pri istraživanju uzorak od 200 poduzeća razdvojen je na 100 poduzeća koja su u 2013. godini bila insolventna te 100 poduzeća koja su iste godine dobro poslovala, zatim su korišteni podaci iz prethodne godine kako bi se izračunala predviđačka snaga svakog od modela. Rezultati istraživanja pokazali su kako se Chesserov model pokazao najuspješnijim u ukupnom klasificiranju insolventnih i solventnih poduzeća dok se model Springate pokazao kao najbolji za prepoznavanje insolventnosti unutar jedne godine nakon aplikacije modela. Imajući u vidu velike razlike gospodarskih okruženja Hrvatske i okruženja originalnih istraživanja (SAD i Kanada) rad prikazuje korisnost ovih modela na hrvatskom tržištu, njihovu prilagodbu te daje prijedlog za način dodatnog poboljšanja i prilagodbe navedenih modela.
Abstract (english)
Risk is an integral part of every business and it is very important to anticipate, recognize and know how to manage it well. In order to facilitate risk prediction, risk prediction models are used. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the Zmijewski, Chesser and Springate risk models can be applied in the Croatian market and what is the accuracy of their predictions. The paper describes the models and the way they are calculated. Paper also compares the results of using the models in their original form on 200 randomly selected companies and also applying the same models after their adaptation. The accuracy of the models was compared with the same models in other markets based on previous research. Research used 200 companies, of which 100 companies were solvent in 2013 and 100 companies that were insolvent in the same year, then the data from last year was used to calculate predicting strength of each of the models. The research results showed that Chesser's model proved to be the most successful in the overall classification of insolvent and solvent companies while the Sptinage model proved to be the best one to recognize insolvency within one year after the model's application. Taking into account the great difference between Croatian economics and the environment of original research (USA and Canada), the paper presents the usefulness of these models on the Croatian market, their adaptation for that market and suggests a further improvement and adaptation of the mentioned models.
Keywords
Keywords (english)
Languagecroatian
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:145:481875
Study programmeTitle: Entrepreneurship
Study programme type: university
Study level: graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsAccess restricted to students and staff of home institution
Terms of useLicence In copyright icon
Created on2019-02-07 11:32:05