Abstract | Tema ovog završnog rada je fiskalna politika RH u EU okruženju kroz analizu
postpandemijskog oporavka i suvremenih izazova. U svrhu istraživanja analizirana je i
diskutirana relevantna znanstvena i stručna literatura, a analiza podataka provedena je
korištenjem prikladnih statističkih metoda. U radu je prvenstveno definirana fiskalna politika,
koja predstavlja svjesnu promjenu svih državnih prihoda i rashoda u svrhu ostvarenja
makroekonomskih ciljeva ekonomske politike. Osnovni istraživački ciljevi vezani su za
pokušaj pronalaženja načina postizanja interne gospodarske ravnoteže u smislu postizanja pune
zaposlenosti, stabilnosti cijena, te eksterne ravnoteže u smislu konkurentnosti nacionalnog
gospodarstva u europskom okruženju, a sve to pod uvjetima gospodarskog rasta i razvoja. U
Republici Hrvatskoj, ulaskom u Europsku uniju, dolazi do niza promjena i reformi vezanih za
fiskalnu politiku, a strukture se mijenjaju te postaju slične strukturama fiskalne politike u
drugim zemljama članicama. Globalizacija kroz povećanje mobilnosti i mogućnosti otvorene
trgovine pozitivno utječe na gospodarski rast (moglo bi se reći svih zemalja), no zbog olakšane
mobilnosti povećane su mogućnosti prijenosa zaraznih bolesti, što je došlo do izražaja naglim
razvojem pandemije COVID-19. Osim opterećenja zdravstvenih sustava, pandemija je ostavila
izrazito negativan utjecaj na ekonomski sustav što je rezultiralo provođenjem brojnih mjera
usmjerenih na očuvanje radnih mjesta i poduzeća ugroženih pandemijom. Epidemiološke mjere
zatvaranja, koje su bile uspješne u suzbijanju širenja infekcije dovele su do ograničene
mobilnosti i pada gospodarske aktivnosti, što je rezultiralo padom proračunskih prihoda, te
značajnim povećanjem rashoda, padom potrošnje i povećanjem javnog duga države. Održivost
fiskalne politike značajno je smanjena zbog nepovoljnih kretanja u primarnom proračunskom
saldu, nižeg gospodarskog rasta, rastućeg tereta kamata i potreba za značajnim financijskim
potporama, što smanjuje sposobnost države u procesu podmirivanja svojih obveza i dodatno
komplicira politiku fiskalne održivosti. Osim niza zdravstvenih intervencija, diljem svijeta
usvojene su diskrecijske fiskalne politike bez presedana koje su imale važan utjecaj na
ublažavanje gospodarske krize i osiguravanje održivosti fiskalne politike. |
Abstract (english) | The subject of this thesis is the fiscal policy of the Republic of Croatia in the EU environment
through the analysis of the post-pandemic recovery and current challenges. For the study, the
relevant scientific and professional literature was analyzed and discussed, and data analysis was
performed using appropriate statistical methods. The paper primarily defines fiscal policy,
which is a deliberate change in all government revenues and expenditures to achieve the
macroeconomic goals of economic policy. The main research objectives pursued refer to the
attempt to find a way to achieve internal economic equilibrium in terms of full employment and
price stability, and external equilibrium in terms of competitiveness of the national economy in
the European environment, under the conditions of economic growth and development. In the
Republic of Croatia, with its accession to the European Union, a series of changes and reforms
are taking place in the area of tax policy, the structures of which are changing and becoming
more similar to the structures of tax policy in other member countries. Globalization through
increased mobility and the possibility of open trade has a positive effect on economic growth
(this can be said of all countries), but facilitated mobility has increased the possibility of
transmission of infectious diseases, which was evident in the sudden development of the
pandemic COVID -19. In addition to the strain on health care systems, the pandemic had an
extremely negative impact on the economy, leading to the implementation of numerous
measures aimed at preserving jobs and businesses threatened by the pandemic. Epidemiological
closure measures that successfully suppressed the spread of infection led to reduced mobility
and a decline in economic activity, resulting in a decrease in budget revenues as well as a
significant increase in spending, a decrease in consumption, and an increase in the government's
public debt. Fiscal sustainability has been significantly constrained by the unfavorable
performance of the primary budget balance, lower economic growth, the growing interest
burden, and the need for significant financial support, which reduces the government's ability
to meet its obligations and further complicates fiscal sustainability policies. In addition to a
range of public health policies, unprecedented discretionary fiscal actions were taken around
the world, which had an important impact on mitigating the economic crisis and ensuring fiscal
sustainability. |